Current National Weather Service guidance for Atlanta on August 15, 2026, centers on a high near 94°F amid mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features peak solar insolation and typical subtropical high pressure promoting subsidence and warming, while urban heat island effects and moderate humidity sustain readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with no strong signals for significant cooling or intensification from steering patterns or moisture influx. Traders appear to weigh forecast confidence and historical verification rates for similar setups when pricing the narrower 92-93°F and 96-97°F bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Atlanta on August 15?
94-95°F 55%
92-93°F 21%
96-97°F 19%
90-91°F 5%
$23,043 Vol.
$23,043 Vol.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
55%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 55%
92-93°F 21%
96-97°F 19%
90-91°F 5%
$23,043 Vol.
$23,043 Vol.
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
55%
96-97°F
19%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance for Atlanta on August 15, 2026, centers on a high near 94°F amid mostly sunny skies with only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome at 55.5% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features peak solar insolation and typical subtropical high pressure promoting subsidence and warming, while urban heat island effects and moderate humidity sustain readings in the low-to-mid 90s. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with no strong signals for significant cooling or intensification from steering patterns or moisture influx. Traders appear to weigh forecast confidence and historical verification rates for similar setups when pricing the narrower 92-93°F and 96-97°F bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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