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icon for How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?

icon for How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?

Aug 17

Aug 23

Aug 17

Aug 23

≤6 21%

>13 19%

8 13%

9 13%

Polymarket
BARU

≤6 21%

>13 19%

8 13%

9 13%

Polymarket
BARU

≤6

$916 Vol.

21%

7

$134 Vol.

10%

8

$196 Vol.

13%

9

$144 Vol.

13%

10

$144 Vol.

12%

11

$134 Vol.

10%

12

$145 Vol.

9%

13

$147 Vol.

7%

>13

$512 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismic activity has dipped to unusually low levels, with no M5.0+ events recorded in a full 24-hour window as of mid-August 14, following major ruptures including the M7.4 Colombia quake on August 10 and M7.7 Indonesia event on August 14. USGS data show weekly M5.5+ counts typically average 6–14 with substantial variance driven by aftershock sequences along subduction zones and the Pacific Ring of Fire, where tectonic plate interactions generate most events. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, spreading probability across mid-range outcomes because no dominant aftershock swarm or new large mainshock has been confirmed to elevate rates, while the recent lull supports the elevated odds on ≤6; differentiation between bins hinges on whether ongoing aftershocks or quiet conditions prevail through the forecast window.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$2,473
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Recent global seismic activity has dipped to unusually low levels, with no M5.0+ events recorded in a full 24-hour window as of mid-August 14, following major ruptures including the M7.4 Colombia quake on August 10 and M7.7 Indonesia event on August 14. USGS data show weekly M5.5+ counts typically average 6–14 with substantial variance driven by aftershock sequences along subduction zones and the Pacific Ring of Fire, where tectonic plate interactions generate most events. Trader sentiment reflects this uncertainty, spreading probability across mid-range outcomes because no dominant aftershock swarm or new large mainshock has been confirmed to elevate rates, while the recent lull supports the elevated odds on ≤6; differentiation between bins hinges on whether ongoing aftershocks or quiet conditions prevail through the forecast window.

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).

If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volume
$2,473
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.

Terkait

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Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?

100%
icon for Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?

42%
icon for Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?

Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 10 - August 16?

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 9 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "≤6" di 21%, diikuti oleh ">13" di 19%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 21¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 21% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Aug 14, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?," jelajahi 9 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?" adalah "≤6" di 21%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 21% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah ">13" di 19%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.