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Is Earth flat?

icon for Is Earth flat?

Is Earth flat?

3% peluang
Polymarket

$15,917 Vol.

3% peluang
Polymarket

$15,917 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming scientific consensus and centuries of verifiable evidence continue to drive the 97.3% market-implied probability on a "No" resolution for the flat Earth question. Satellite imagery, gravitational data, and everyday navigation systems have long established the planet's spherical shape in mainstream understanding, leaving conspiracy narratives confined to fringe online spaces with minimal cultural traction. No credible developments in the past month have introduced realistic upset scenarios, as educational campaigns and space exploration milestones reinforce rather than challenge the established view. While a highly orchestrated viral hoax could theoretically test trader resolve, historical patterns show such efforts rarely sustain momentum against empirical reality.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$15,917
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The overwhelming scientific consensus and centuries of verifiable evidence continue to drive the 97.3% market-implied probability on a "No" resolution for the flat Earth question. Satellite imagery, gravitational data, and everyday navigation systems have long established the planet's spherical shape in mainstream understanding, leaving conspiracy narratives confined to fringe online spaces with minimal cultural traction. No credible developments in the past month have introduced realistic upset scenarios, as educational campaigns and space exploration milestones reinforce rather than challenge the established view. While a highly orchestrated viral hoax could theoretically test trader resolve, historical patterns show such efforts rarely sustain momentum against empirical reality.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$15,917
Tanggal Berakhir
Jan 1, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 8, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if conclusive proof that the earth is flat becomes public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Is Earth flat?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 3% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 3¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 3% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Is Earth flat?" telah menghasilkan $15.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 8, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Is Earth flat?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Is Earth flat?" adalah 3% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 3% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Is Earth flat?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.