Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European forecasting centers indicates a gradual easing of the ongoing warm spell over Paris, with nighttime minimums for August 16 most likely settling between 18–20 °C. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept recent overnight readings elevated near 22 °C, yet an incoming Atlantic trough is expected to introduce slightly cooler, drier air by the weekend, lowering the floor by 2–4 °C. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–16 °C, so current guidance remains above average. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this modest cooling signal and lingering model spread on exact timing of the trough passage, concentrating implied probability on the 18 °C or below and 19–20 °C buckets ahead of updated runs on the 15th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
18°C or below 49%
19°C 28%
20°C 24%
21°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
49%
19°C
28%
20°C
24%
21°C
10%
22°C
10%
23°C
6%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 49%
19°C 28%
20°C 24%
21°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Vol.
49%
19°C
$0 Vol.
28%
20°C
$0 Vol.
24%
21°C
$0 Vol.
10%
22°C
$10 Vol.
10%
23°C
$15 Vol.
6%
24°C
$15 Vol.
4%
25°C
$10 Vol.
4%
26°C
$10 Vol.
4%
27°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European forecasting centers indicates a gradual easing of the ongoing warm spell over Paris, with nighttime minimums for August 16 most likely settling between 18–20 °C. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept recent overnight readings elevated near 22 °C, yet an incoming Atlantic trough is expected to introduce slightly cooler, drier air by the weekend, lowering the floor by 2–4 °C. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–16 °C, so current guidance remains above average. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this modest cooling signal and lingering model spread on exact timing of the trough passage, concentrating implied probability on the 18 °C or below and 19–20 °C buckets ahead of updated runs on the 15th.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volume
$80Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European forecasting centers indicates a gradual easing of the ongoing warm spell over Paris, with nighttime minimums for August 16 most likely settling between 18–20 °C. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept recent overnight readings elevated near 22 °C, yet an incoming Atlantic trough is expected to introduce slightly cooler, drier air by the weekend, lowering the floor by 2–4 °C. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–16 °C, so current guidance remains above average. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this modest cooling signal and lingering model spread on exact timing of the trough passage, concentrating implied probability on the 18 °C or below and 19–20 °C buckets ahead of updated runs on the 15th.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$80Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from Météo-France and European forecasting centers indicates a gradual easing of the ongoing warm spell over Paris, with nighttime minimums for August 16 most likely settling between 18–20 °C. Persistent southerly flow and limited cloud cover have kept recent overnight readings elevated near 22 °C, yet an incoming Atlantic trough is expected to introduce slightly cooler, drier air by the weekend, lowering the floor by 2–4 °C. Historical August climatology places typical lows at 14–16 °C, so current guidance remains above average. Traders appear to weigh the balance between this modest cooling signal and lingering model spread on exact timing of the trough passage, concentrating implied probability on the 18 °C or below and 19–20 °C buckets ahead of updated runs on the 15th.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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