Latest forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 36–37°C for Chengdu on August 14, 2026, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high maintaining clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin. Low-level southerly flow and downslope warming from surrounding terrain further support elevated maxima, while isolated late-day thunderstorms—now showing only 10–20% probability in the latest runs—introduce the main uncertainty that could shave a degree or two if they develop earlier. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32–34°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that has kept the 36°C and 37°C outcomes tightly matched at 34.5% and 30% implied probability. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and convective timing ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 14?
36°C 35%
37°C 30%
35°C 18%
38°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
7%
35°C
18%
36°C
35%
37°C
30%
38°C
7%
39°C
3%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 35%
37°C 30%
35°C 18%
38°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
30°C or below
$93 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$130 Vol.
1%
32°C
$200 Vol.
1%
33°C
$119 Vol.
3%
34°C
$289 Vol.
7%
35°C
$207 Vol.
18%
36°C
$654 Vol.
35%
37°C
$2,724 Vol.
30%
38°C
$54 Vol.
7%
39°C
$97 Vol.
3%
40°C or higher
$634 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 36–37°C for Chengdu on August 14, 2026, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high maintaining clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin. Low-level southerly flow and downslope warming from surrounding terrain further support elevated maxima, while isolated late-day thunderstorms—now showing only 10–20% probability in the latest runs—introduce the main uncertainty that could shave a degree or two if they develop earlier. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32–34°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that has kept the 36°C and 37°C outcomes tightly matched at 34.5% and 30% implied probability. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and convective timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$5,200Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 36–37°C for Chengdu on August 14, 2026, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high maintaining clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin. Low-level southerly flow and downslope warming from surrounding terrain further support elevated maxima, while isolated late-day thunderstorms—now showing only 10–20% probability in the latest runs—introduce the main uncertainty that could shave a degree or two if they develop earlier. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32–34°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that has kept the 36°C and 37°C outcomes tightly matched at 34.5% and 30% implied probability. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and convective timing ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,200Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from multiple models indicate a peak temperature of 36–37°C for Chengdu on August 14, 2026, driven by the persistent influence of the western Pacific subtropical high maintaining clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal cloud cover over the Sichuan Basin. Low-level southerly flow and downslope warming from surrounding terrain further support elevated maxima, while isolated late-day thunderstorms—now showing only 10–20% probability in the latest runs—introduce the main uncertainty that could shave a degree or two if they develop earlier. Historical August climatology places typical highs near 32–34°C, so the current setup represents a notable positive anomaly that has kept the 36°C and 37°C outcomes tightly matched at 34.5% and 30% implied probability. Updated CMA and ECMWF guidance expected within the next 24 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and convective timing ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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