Recent short-range model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles favors daytime maxima near 23–24 °C in São Paulo on 12 August, positioning those outcomes as the clear market leaders. A transitional ridge of high pressure following an earlier cool frontal passage, combined with modest warm advection ahead of a weak trough, is expected to limit cloud cover and allow moderate surface heating under wintertime insolation. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, yet the current synoptic setup tempers potential for higher values. Traders are weighting these dynamical factors heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow forecast spread and limited time until resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 12?
24°C 41%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
22°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
25%
24°C
41%
25°C
19%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 41%
23°C 25%
25°C 19%
22°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 12, 2026
19°C or below
$69 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$35 Vol.
1%
21°C
$80 Vol.
3%
22°C
$199 Vol.
10%
23°C
$263 Vol.
25%
24°C
$1,379 Vol.
41%
25°C
$101 Vol.
19%
26°C
$216 Vol.
4%
27°C
$37 Vol.
2%
28°C
$99 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$2,661 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles favors daytime maxima near 23–24 °C in São Paulo on 12 August, positioning those outcomes as the clear market leaders. A transitional ridge of high pressure following an earlier cool frontal passage, combined with modest warm advection ahead of a weak trough, is expected to limit cloud cover and allow moderate surface heating under wintertime insolation. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, yet the current synoptic setup tempers potential for higher values. Traders are weighting these dynamical factors heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow forecast spread and limited time until resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$5,139Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles favors daytime maxima near 23–24 °C in São Paulo on 12 August, positioning those outcomes as the clear market leaders. A transitional ridge of high pressure following an earlier cool frontal passage, combined with modest warm advection ahead of a weak trough, is expected to limit cloud cover and allow moderate surface heating under wintertime insolation. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, yet the current synoptic setup tempers potential for higher values. Traders are weighting these dynamical factors heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow forecast spread and limited time until resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,139Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 12, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles favors daytime maxima near 23–24 °C in São Paulo on 12 August, positioning those outcomes as the clear market leaders. A transitional ridge of high pressure following an earlier cool frontal passage, combined with modest warm advection ahead of a weak trough, is expected to limit cloud cover and allow moderate surface heating under wintertime insolation. Historical August averages of 23–25 °C provide climatological context, yet the current synoptic setup tempers potential for higher values. Traders are weighting these dynamical factors heavily, with implied probabilities reflecting the narrow forecast spread and limited time until resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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