Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project clear skies and a maximum of 34°C for Incheon on August 11, establishing the primary driver behind the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These align with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where high-pressure systems and urban heat effects typically produce daytime highs near 32–35°C, though sea breezes and any late model revisions could moderate readings. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model output against historical variability in peak temperatures, with minimal precipitation expected to limit cooling. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date may further refine implied probabilities as resolution criteria focus on official observed maxima.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 11?
33°C 41%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
22%
33°C
41%
34°C
25%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 41%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
31°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 11, 2026
27°C or below
$420 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$22 Vol.
2%
31°C
$81 Vol.
7%
32°C
$89 Vol.
22%
33°C
$350 Vol.
41%
34°C
$120 Vol.
25%
35°C
$54 Vol.
7%
36°C
$155 Vol.
3%
37°C or higher
$853 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project clear skies and a maximum of 34°C for Incheon on August 11, establishing the primary driver behind the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These align with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where high-pressure systems and urban heat effects typically produce daytime highs near 32–35°C, though sea breezes and any late model revisions could moderate readings. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model output against historical variability in peak temperatures, with minimal precipitation expected to limit cooling. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date may further refine implied probabilities as resolution criteria focus on official observed maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,179Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project clear skies and a maximum of 34°C for Incheon on August 11, establishing the primary driver behind the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These align with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where high-pressure systems and urban heat effects typically produce daytime highs near 32–35°C, though sea breezes and any late model revisions could moderate readings. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model output against historical variability in peak temperatures, with minimal precipitation expected to limit cooling. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date may further refine implied probabilities as resolution criteria focus on official observed maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,179Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts project clear skies and a maximum of 34°C for Incheon on August 11, establishing the primary driver behind the market's leading 33°C and 34°C outcomes. These align with climatological norms for mid-August in the region, where high-pressure systems and urban heat effects typically produce daytime highs near 32–35°C, though sea breezes and any late model revisions could moderate readings. Traders appear to weigh the consensus model output against historical variability in peak temperatures, with minimal precipitation expected to limit cooling. Updated forecast runs ahead of the date may further refine implied probabilities as resolution criteria focus on official observed maxima.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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