Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight convective thunderstorms and variable cloud cover as the dominant factors shaping trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 14 maximum temperature. Subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and monsoon moisture, promote afternoon showers that limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping peaks near the 32–33°C climatological range. Minor model disagreements on shower timing and intensity create tight spreads between the 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C outcomes, as even modest differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Official observations at the primary station will reflect these dynamics, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily given the two-day horizon.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 14?
33°C 33%
32°C 25%
34°C 20%
35°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
33%
34°C
20%
35°C
9%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 33%
32°C 25%
34°C 20%
35°C 9%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
7%
32°C
25%
33°C
33%
34°C
20%
35°C
9%
36°C
4%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight convective thunderstorms and variable cloud cover as the dominant factors shaping trader sentiment for Guangzhou's August 14 maximum temperature. Subtropical summer conditions, with high humidity and monsoon moisture, promote afternoon showers that limit surface heating through reduced solar insolation and evaporative cooling, keeping peaks near the 32–33°C climatological range. Minor model disagreements on shower timing and intensity create tight spreads between the 32°C, 33°C, and 34°C outcomes, as even modest differences in boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns can shift the daily high by 1–2°C. Official observations at the primary station will reflect these dynamics, with traders weighting the latest short-range guidance most heavily given the two-day horizon.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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