Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35°C for Taipei on August 16 under mostly clear skies with afternoon thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs near 32–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, but reduced cloud cover and light winds could allow brief intensification toward 36°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support a narrow range centered on 34–35°C, with lower odds for 37°C+ reflecting limited heat buildup before showers develop. Traders are weighting the official 27–35°C guidance and historical analogs showing occasional peaks above seasonal averages when steering patterns favor clearer conditions. Updated CWA briefings tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective activity that caps the daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 16?
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 20%
33°C 7%
BARU
$24,648 Vol.
BARU
$24,648 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
28%
35°C
36%
36°C
20%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
36°C 20%
33°C 7%
BARU
$24,648 Vol.
BARU
$24,648 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$993 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,132 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,813 Vol.
1%
33°C
$4,631 Vol.
7%
34°C
$4,647 Vol.
28%
35°C
$3,521 Vol.
36%
36°C
$2,078 Vol.
20%
37°C
$1,789 Vol.
4%
38°C
$938 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$731 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35°C for Taipei on August 16 under mostly clear skies with afternoon thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs near 32–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, but reduced cloud cover and light winds could allow brief intensification toward 36°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support a narrow range centered on 34–35°C, with lower odds for 37°C+ reflecting limited heat buildup before showers develop. Traders are weighting the official 27–35°C guidance and historical analogs showing occasional peaks above seasonal averages when steering patterns favor clearer conditions. Updated CWA briefings tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective activity that caps the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$24,648Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35°C for Taipei on August 16 under mostly clear skies with afternoon thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs near 32–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, but reduced cloud cover and light winds could allow brief intensification toward 36°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support a narrow range centered on 34–35°C, with lower odds for 37°C+ reflecting limited heat buildup before showers develop. Traders are weighting the official 27–35°C guidance and historical analogs showing occasional peaks above seasonal averages when steering patterns favor clearer conditions. Updated CWA briefings tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective activity that caps the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,648Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration project a daytime high of 35°C for Taipei on August 16 under mostly clear skies with afternoon thundershowers, aligning with the market's leading 35°C outcome at 45.5% implied probability. Typical August climatology features highs near 32–34°C amid high humidity and monsoon influences, but reduced cloud cover and light winds could allow brief intensification toward 36°C. Model consensus and recent observational trends support a narrow range centered on 34–35°C, with lower odds for 37°C+ reflecting limited heat buildup before showers develop. Traders are weighting the official 27–35°C guidance and historical analogs showing occasional peaks above seasonal averages when steering patterns favor clearer conditions. Updated CWA briefings tomorrow morning will refine timing of any convective activity that caps the daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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