Forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles places Moscow's August 16 maximum near 24–25°C under cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This narrow range drives the near-even split between the 24°C (38.5%) and 25°C (33%) outcomes, as modest differences in daytime insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while current high-pressure influence and limited moisture keep extremes below 27°C unlikely. Traders weigh the latest model runs against potential late revisions in cloud cover or wind speed before resolution via official station data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 16?
24°C 39%
25°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
39%
25°C
33%
26°C
15%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 39%
25°C 33%
26°C 15%
23°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
$873 Vol.
1%
21°C
$241 Vol.
1%
22°C
$103 Vol.
2%
23°C
$435 Vol.
10%
24°C
$249 Vol.
39%
25°C
$734 Vol.
33%
26°C
$383 Vol.
15%
27°C
$114 Vol.
3%
28°C
$277 Vol.
1%
29°C
$604 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$100 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles places Moscow's August 16 maximum near 24–25°C under cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This narrow range drives the near-even split between the 24°C (38.5%) and 25°C (33%) outcomes, as modest differences in daytime insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while current high-pressure influence and limited moisture keep extremes below 27°C unlikely. Traders weigh the latest model runs against potential late revisions in cloud cover or wind speed before resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$4,114Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles places Moscow's August 16 maximum near 24–25°C under cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This narrow range drives the near-even split between the 24°C (38.5%) and 25°C (33%) outcomes, as modest differences in daytime insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while current high-pressure influence and limited moisture keep extremes below 27°C unlikely. Traders weigh the latest model runs against potential late revisions in cloud cover or wind speed before resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,114Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles places Moscow's August 16 maximum near 24–25°C under cloudy skies with light northwest winds and minimal precipitation risk. This narrow range drives the near-even split between the 24°C (38.5%) and 25°C (33%) outcomes, as modest differences in daytime insolation or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 22°C provide baseline context, while current high-pressure influence and limited moisture keep extremes below 27°C unlikely. Traders weigh the latest model runs against potential late revisions in cloud cover or wind speed before resolution via official station data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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