Latest forecasts from regional and global models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 15 will reach 27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns closely with mid-August climatology, where daily highs average 27–29°C, with current ensemble guidance showing only modest potential for slight upward deviation if insolation increases. Official observational trends and limited model divergence reinforce trader consensus around this narrow threshold. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind shifts that suppress the peak below 27°C, though such shifts remain unfavored in the latest updates ahead of final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,352 Vol.
$38,352 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,352 Vol.
$38,352 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,081 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,710 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$14,060 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,161 Vol.
100%
28°C
$4,236 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,509 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$313 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$342 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional and global models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 15 will reach 27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns closely with mid-August climatology, where daily highs average 27–29°C, with current ensemble guidance showing only modest potential for slight upward deviation if insolation increases. Official observational trends and limited model divergence reinforce trader consensus around this narrow threshold. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind shifts that suppress the peak below 27°C, though such shifts remain unfavored in the latest updates ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$38,352Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from regional and global models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 15 will reach 27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns closely with mid-August climatology, where daily highs average 27–29°C, with current ensemble guidance showing only modest potential for slight upward deviation if insolation increases. Official observational trends and limited model divergence reinforce trader consensus around this narrow threshold. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind shifts that suppress the peak below 27°C, though such shifts remain unfavored in the latest updates ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,352Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from regional and global models indicate Istanbul's maximum temperature on August 15 will reach 27°C under stable high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime heating. This aligns closely with mid-August climatology, where daily highs average 27–29°C, with current ensemble guidance showing only modest potential for slight upward deviation if insolation increases. Official observational trends and limited model divergence reinforce trader consensus around this narrow threshold. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover or wind shifts that suppress the peak below 27°C, though such shifts remain unfavored in the latest updates ahead of final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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