Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model consensus points to peak daytime heating of 34–35°C in Munich on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and maximize solar insolation. Observed readings earlier in the week climbed from 29°C to near 32°C amid similar anticyclonic conditions, with no significant frontal passages or increased cloud cover expected to cap temperatures. These factors, combined with typical mid-August climatology showing occasional exceedances of 30°C, explain the overwhelming trader consensus around the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 36°C or higher very low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 15?
35°C 60%
34°C 39%
36°C 5%
33°C <1%
BARU
$40,540 Vol.
BARU
$40,540 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
39%
35°C
60%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 60%
34°C 39%
36°C 5%
33°C <1%
BARU
$40,540 Vol.
BARU
$40,540 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
29°C or below
$226 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$829 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,558 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$7,044 Vol.
1%
34°C
$10,140 Vol.
39%
35°C
$9,800 Vol.
60%
36°C
$7,434 Vol.
5%
37°C
$1,961 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$900 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model consensus points to peak daytime heating of 34–35°C in Munich on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and maximize solar insolation. Observed readings earlier in the week climbed from 29°C to near 32°C amid similar anticyclonic conditions, with no significant frontal passages or increased cloud cover expected to cap temperatures. These factors, combined with typical mid-August climatology showing occasional exceedances of 30°C, explain the overwhelming trader consensus around the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 36°C or higher very low.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$40,540Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model consensus points to peak daytime heating of 34–35°C in Munich on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and maximize solar insolation. Observed readings earlier in the week climbed from 29°C to near 32°C amid similar anticyclonic conditions, with no significant frontal passages or increased cloud cover expected to cap temperatures. These factors, combined with typical mid-August climatology showing occasional exceedances of 30°C, explain the overwhelming trader consensus around the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 36°C or higher very low.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$40,540Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model consensus points to peak daytime heating of 34–35°C in Munich on August 15 under a stable high-pressure ridge, clear skies, and light easterly winds that limit mixing and maximize solar insolation. Observed readings earlier in the week climbed from 29°C to near 32°C amid similar anticyclonic conditions, with no significant frontal passages or increased cloud cover expected to cap temperatures. These factors, combined with typical mid-August climatology showing occasional exceedances of 30°C, explain the overwhelming trader consensus around the two leading outcomes while keeping probabilities for 36°C or higher very low.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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