Short-term forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies and regional models point to a daytime maximum near 25–26 °C in São Paulo on August 14 under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, limited moisture, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating. The closely matched market probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C reflect genuine uncertainty arising from minor model spread in peak timing, urban heat-island amplification at official stations, and small variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines of 23–25 °C provide context, while any late-day clearing or slight wind shift could nudge readings one degree higher without altering the overall stable air-mass regime.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 14?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 14?
25°C 37%
26°C 33%
24°C 14%
27°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
14%
25°C
37%
26°C
33%
27°C
9%
28°C
3%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 37%
26°C 33%
24°C 14%
27°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
21°C or below
$359 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$409 Vol.
1%
23°C
$116 Vol.
5%
24°C
$2,527 Vol.
14%
25°C
$954 Vol.
37%
26°C
$965 Vol.
33%
27°C
$1,827 Vol.
9%
28°C
$742 Vol.
3%
29°C
$970 Vol.
2%
30°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$373 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies and regional models point to a daytime maximum near 25–26 °C in São Paulo on August 14 under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, limited moisture, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating. The closely matched market probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C reflect genuine uncertainty arising from minor model spread in peak timing, urban heat-island amplification at official stations, and small variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines of 23–25 °C provide context, while any late-day clearing or slight wind shift could nudge readings one degree higher without altering the overall stable air-mass regime.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$9,476Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies and regional models point to a daytime maximum near 25–26 °C in São Paulo on August 14 under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, limited moisture, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating. The closely matched market probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C reflect genuine uncertainty arising from minor model spread in peak timing, urban heat-island amplification at official stations, and small variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines of 23–25 °C provide context, while any late-day clearing or slight wind shift could nudge readings one degree higher without altering the overall stable air-mass regime.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,476Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from Brazilian meteorological agencies and regional models point to a daytime maximum near 25–26 °C in São Paulo on August 14 under typical Southern Hemisphere winter subsidence, limited moisture, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that permit moderate solar heating. The closely matched market probabilities for 25 °C and 26 °C reflect genuine uncertainty arising from minor model spread in peak timing, urban heat-island amplification at official stations, and small variations in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing. Historical August baselines of 23–25 °C provide context, while any late-day clearing or slight wind shift could nudge readings one degree higher without altering the overall stable air-mass regime.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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