**Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Chongqing on August 15 most likely near 35–36°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** Chongqing's basin topography and subtropical monsoon climate trap heat and moisture during midsummer, producing typical August daily highs of 33–38°C when skies are clear and southerly flow dominates. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential from urban heat island effects or brief ridging, tempered by possible scattered rainfall or slightly enhanced monsoon moisture that could cap extremes below 38°C. Historical August climatology places average maxima around 34–35°C, with occasional spikes to 40°C+ during strong heat events, but no major heatwave signals have emerged in the latest guidance for this specific date. Traders appear to be pricing in this model consensus and low near-term volatility, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations from central stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 15?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 15?
36°C 43%
35°C 23%
37°C 20%
34°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
23%
36°C
43%
37°C
20%
38°C
6%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
35°C 23%
37°C 20%
34°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
32°C or below
$260 Vol.
1%
33°C
$586 Vol.
3%
34°C
$644 Vol.
10%
35°C
$36 Vol.
23%
36°C
$575 Vol.
43%
37°C
$319 Vol.
20%
38°C
$209 Vol.
6%
39°C
$98 Vol.
2%
40°C
$15 Vol.
1%
41°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$36 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Chongqing on August 15 most likely near 35–36°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** Chongqing's basin topography and subtropical monsoon climate trap heat and moisture during midsummer, producing typical August daily highs of 33–38°C when skies are clear and southerly flow dominates. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential from urban heat island effects or brief ridging, tempered by possible scattered rainfall or slightly enhanced monsoon moisture that could cap extremes below 38°C. Historical August climatology places average maxima around 34–35°C, with occasional spikes to 40°C+ during strong heat events, but no major heatwave signals have emerged in the latest guidance for this specific date. Traders appear to be pricing in this model consensus and low near-term volatility, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations from central stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,788Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Chongqing on August 15 most likely near 35–36°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** Chongqing's basin topography and subtropical monsoon climate trap heat and moisture during midsummer, producing typical August daily highs of 33–38°C when skies are clear and southerly flow dominates. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential from urban heat island effects or brief ridging, tempered by possible scattered rainfall or slightly enhanced monsoon moisture that could cap extremes below 38°C. Historical August climatology places average maxima around 34–35°C, with occasional spikes to 40°C+ during strong heat events, but no major heatwave signals have emerged in the latest guidance for this specific date. Traders appear to be pricing in this model consensus and low near-term volatility, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations from central stations.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,788Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a peak temperature in Chongqing on August 15 most likely near 35–36°C, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes.** Chongqing's basin topography and subtropical monsoon climate trap heat and moisture during midsummer, producing typical August daily highs of 33–38°C when skies are clear and southerly flow dominates. Recent model runs show limited intensification potential from urban heat island effects or brief ridging, tempered by possible scattered rainfall or slightly enhanced monsoon moisture that could cap extremes below 38°C. Historical August climatology places average maxima around 34–35°C, with occasional spikes to 40°C+ during strong heat events, but no major heatwave signals have emerged in the latest guidance for this specific date. Traders appear to be pricing in this model consensus and low near-term volatility, with resolution hinging on official daily maximum observations from central stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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