Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 39.5% and 28.5% implied probability. This reflects typical August subtropical monsoon conditions, where average highs reach 32°C amid high humidity above 75%, though recent Typhoon Dolphin landfall in eastern China may introduce increased cloud cover and rainfall that slightly moderates peaks. Historical data shows extremes above 35°C occur but remain less common without strong high-pressure dominance. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-assessed probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 13?
34°C 43%
33°C 34%
35°C 13%
32°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
8%
33°C
34%
34°C
43%
35°C
13%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 43%
33°C 34%
35°C 13%
32°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 13, 2026
28°C or below
$1,143 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$125 Vol.
1%
31°C
$119 Vol.
4%
32°C
$153 Vol.
8%
33°C
$184 Vol.
34%
34°C
$1,703 Vol.
43%
35°C
$178 Vol.
13%
36°C
$295 Vol.
4%
37°C
$488 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$861 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 39.5% and 28.5% implied probability. This reflects typical August subtropical monsoon conditions, where average highs reach 32°C amid high humidity above 75%, though recent Typhoon Dolphin landfall in eastern China may introduce increased cloud cover and rainfall that slightly moderates peaks. Historical data shows extremes above 35°C occur but remain less common without strong high-pressure dominance. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-assessed probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$5,430Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 39.5% and 28.5% implied probability. This reflects typical August subtropical monsoon conditions, where average highs reach 32°C amid high humidity above 75%, though recent Typhoon Dolphin landfall in eastern China may introduce increased cloud cover and rainfall that slightly moderates peaks. Historical data shows extremes above 35°C occur but remain less common without strong high-pressure dominance. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-assessed probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,430Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate daytime highs near 33–34°C for Shenzhen on August 13, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 39.5% and 28.5% implied probability. This reflects typical August subtropical monsoon conditions, where average highs reach 32°C amid high humidity above 75%, though recent Typhoon Dolphin landfall in eastern China may introduce increased cloud cover and rainfall that slightly moderates peaks. Historical data shows extremes above 35°C occur but remain less common without strong high-pressure dominance. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-assessed probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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