Recent KMA and global model guidance for Busan on August 16 shows ensemble spread centered near 30–32 °C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26–28 °C because coastal sea-breeze advection and variable cloud cover or isolated showers can readily suppress afternoon maxima by 2–4 °C below the 29–31 °C August climatology. Light northeasterly flow under high pressure supports the upper end of that range, while any increase in marine-layer moisture or convective initiation would favor the lower outcomes. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and next model runs within 24 hours will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Busan on August 16?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 16?
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
28°C 26%
24°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C
21%
27°C
27%
28°C
26%
29°C
13%
30°C
4%
31°C or higher
7%
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
28°C 26%
24°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
21°C or below
$22 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$18 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$9 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$37 Vol.
9%
25°C
$47 Vol.
9%
26°C
$16 Vol.
21%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$14 Vol.
26%
29°C
$16 Vol.
13%
30°C
$49 Vol.
4%
31°C or higher
$10 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global model guidance for Busan on August 16 shows ensemble spread centered near 30–32 °C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26–28 °C because coastal sea-breeze advection and variable cloud cover or isolated showers can readily suppress afternoon maxima by 2–4 °C below the 29–31 °C August climatology. Light northeasterly flow under high pressure supports the upper end of that range, while any increase in marine-layer moisture or convective initiation would favor the lower outcomes. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and next model runs within 24 hours will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$238Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA and global model guidance for Busan on August 16 shows ensemble spread centered near 30–32 °C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26–28 °C because coastal sea-breeze advection and variable cloud cover or isolated showers can readily suppress afternoon maxima by 2–4 °C below the 29–31 °C August climatology. Light northeasterly flow under high pressure supports the upper end of that range, while any increase in marine-layer moisture or convective initiation would favor the lower outcomes. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and next model runs within 24 hours will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$238Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA and global model guidance for Busan on August 16 shows ensemble spread centered near 30–32 °C, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 26–28 °C because coastal sea-breeze advection and variable cloud cover or isolated showers can readily suppress afternoon maxima by 2–4 °C below the 29–31 °C August climatology. Light northeasterly flow under high pressure supports the upper end of that range, while any increase in marine-layer moisture or convective initiation would favor the lower outcomes. Updated KMA short-range forecasts and next model runs within 24 hours will sharpen resolution criteria tied to official daily maximum readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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