Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a 25°C overnight minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 16 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and 20% precipitation chances, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the humid subtropical environment. Ensemble models indicate modest potential for 23–24°C if partial clearing occurs, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around 24°C (44%) and 25°C (26.5%). Mid-August climatology typically features minima near 22–24°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover, with recent patterns of elevated moisture and light steering flows supporting the tight distribution of outcomes. Short-range forecast updates or refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could shift trader sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 16?
24°C 41%
25°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
41%
25°C
32%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 41%
25°C 32%
23°C 16%
26°C 9%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
16%
24°C
41%
25°C
32%
26°C
9%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Korea Meteorological Administration guidance projects a 25°C overnight minimum for the Seoul-Incheon area on August 16 under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds and 20% precipitation chances, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in the humid subtropical environment. Ensemble models indicate modest potential for 23–24°C if partial clearing occurs, consistent with the market’s leading implied probabilities clustered around 24°C (44%) and 25°C (26.5%). Mid-August climatology typically features minima near 22–24°C amid high humidity and variable cloud cover, with recent patterns of elevated moisture and light steering flows supporting the tight distribution of outcomes. Short-range forecast updates or refined model runs over the next 48 hours represent the key variables that could shift trader sentiment.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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