Weather forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting regional models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 25°C across the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, driving the 99% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-August climatology features stable warm-season patterns with limited diurnal cooling, and recent model runs show consistent nighttime lows near this threshold without significant frontal passages or precipitation that could alter readings. Official observations use standardized stations with precise instrumentation, minimizing measurement variance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day cold advection or localized microclimate shift not captured in current guidance, though such changes remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,631 Vol.
$22,631 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$22,631 Vol.
$22,631 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$347 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$545 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,129 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,821 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,261 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$6,794 Vol.
100%
26°C
$3,713 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,056 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$321 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting regional models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 25°C across the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, driving the 99% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-August climatology features stable warm-season patterns with limited diurnal cooling, and recent model runs show consistent nighttime lows near this threshold without significant frontal passages or precipitation that could alter readings. Official observations use standardized stations with precise instrumentation, minimizing measurement variance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day cold advection or localized microclimate shift not captured in current guidance, though such changes remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$22,631Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Weather forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting regional models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 25°C across the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, driving the 99% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-August climatology features stable warm-season patterns with limited diurnal cooling, and recent model runs show consistent nighttime lows near this threshold without significant frontal passages or precipitation that could alter readings. Official observations use standardized stations with precise instrumentation, minimizing measurement variance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day cold advection or localized microclimate shift not captured in current guidance, though such changes remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model consensus.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,631Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Weather forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting regional models indicate a daily minimum temperature of 25°C across the Seoul-Incheon area on August 15, driving the 99% market-implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-August climatology features stable warm-season patterns with limited diurnal cooling, and recent model runs show consistent nighttime lows near this threshold without significant frontal passages or precipitation that could alter readings. Official observations use standardized stations with precise instrumentation, minimizing measurement variance. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day cold advection or localized microclimate shift not captured in current guidance, though such changes remain low-probability given the short forecast horizon and model consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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