Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 point to a daily minimum of 24–25°C under scattered showers and thunderstorms, with current observations near 24–26°C amid high humidity and light variable winds. These closely matched market probabilities reflect uncertainty in the precise overnight low driven by the timing and intensity of convective cooling, cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and minor differences between the urban Seoul heat island and the coastal Incheon station. Recent heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures above long-term August averages, while ongoing precipitation introduces variability in how much evaporative cooling occurs before the daily minimum is recorded. Traders are closely watching updated model runs and official hourly observations through the evening for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 15?
24°C 49%
25°C 30%
23°C 27%
22°C 1.2%
$17,923 Vol.
$17,923 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
27%
24°C
49%
25°C
30%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 30%
23°C 27%
22°C 1.2%
$17,923 Vol.
$17,923 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
27%
24°C
49%
25°C
30%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul and Incheon on August 15 point to a daily minimum of 24–25°C under scattered showers and thunderstorms, with current observations near 24–26°C amid high humidity and light variable winds. These closely matched market probabilities reflect uncertainty in the precise overnight low driven by the timing and intensity of convective cooling, cloud cover reducing radiational cooling, and minor differences between the urban Seoul heat island and the coastal Incheon station. Recent heatwave conditions have elevated baseline temperatures above long-term August averages, while ongoing precipitation introduces variability in how much evaporative cooling occurs before the daily minimum is recorded. Traders are closely watching updated model runs and official hourly observations through the evening for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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