Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 65–69°F for New York City on August 15, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderating humidity after a warm August pattern. Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal temperatures—consistent with National Weather Service outlooks favoring warmer-than-normal conditions—have supported trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most probable range, with the 70–71°F bin holding the highest implied probability. Model runs show limited cooling potential absent a stronger frontal passage, though slight downward revisions in guidance could shift sentiment toward the 68–69°F outcome if dew points drop faster than expected. Historical Central Park data place typical mid-August lows near 67–70°F, providing context for why extremes below 64°F or above 76°F remain heavily discounted. Updated National Weather Service or NOAA model guidance on the morning of August 15 will serve as the key input for final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 15?
70-71°F 42%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 17%
74-75°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
17%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
6%
76°F or higher
1%
70-71°F 42%
72-73°F 26%
68-69°F 17%
74-75°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
57°F or below
$300 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$281 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$548 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$268 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$304 Vol.
5%
66-67°F
$201 Vol.
4%
68-69°F
$142 Vol.
17%
70-71°F
$352 Vol.
42%
72-73°F
$211 Vol.
26%
74-75°F
$247 Vol.
6%
76°F or higher
$433 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 65–69°F for New York City on August 15, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderating humidity after a warm August pattern. Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal temperatures—consistent with National Weather Service outlooks favoring warmer-than-normal conditions—have supported trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most probable range, with the 70–71°F bin holding the highest implied probability. Model runs show limited cooling potential absent a stronger frontal passage, though slight downward revisions in guidance could shift sentiment toward the 68–69°F outcome if dew points drop faster than expected. Historical Central Park data place typical mid-August lows near 67–70°F, providing context for why extremes below 64°F or above 76°F remain heavily discounted. Updated National Weather Service or NOAA model guidance on the morning of August 15 will serve as the key input for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$3,287Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 65–69°F for New York City on August 15, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderating humidity after a warm August pattern. Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal temperatures—consistent with National Weather Service outlooks favoring warmer-than-normal conditions—have supported trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most probable range, with the 70–71°F bin holding the highest implied probability. Model runs show limited cooling potential absent a stronger frontal passage, though slight downward revisions in guidance could shift sentiment toward the 68–69°F outcome if dew points drop faster than expected. Historical Central Park data place typical mid-August lows near 67–70°F, providing context for why extremes below 64°F or above 76°F remain heavily discounted. Updated National Weather Service or NOAA model guidance on the morning of August 15 will serve as the key input for final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,287Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AccuWeather and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 65–69°F for New York City on August 15, driven by mostly clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light northeasterly winds, and moderating humidity after a warm August pattern. Persistent high pressure and above-average seasonal temperatures—consistent with National Weather Service outlooks favoring warmer-than-normal conditions—have supported trader consensus around 70–73°F as the most probable range, with the 70–71°F bin holding the highest implied probability. Model runs show limited cooling potential absent a stronger frontal passage, though slight downward revisions in guidance could shift sentiment toward the 68–69°F outcome if dew points drop faster than expected. Historical Central Park data place typical mid-August lows near 67–70°F, providing context for why extremes below 64°F or above 76°F remain heavily discounted. Updated National Weather Service or NOAA model guidance on the morning of August 15 will serve as the key input for final resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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