Forecast models for Istanbul on August 18 show a narrow spread of daily maximum temperatures centered on 29–31°C, driven by persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes supply cooler marine air that caps surface heating, while variable cloud cover and humidity levels introduce the main uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes. Ensemble guidance reflects historical August variability around the 27–29°C climatological average, with minor shifts in wind speed or insolation capable of pushing the peak across the 30°C threshold. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 18?
30°C 39%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
22%
30°C
35%
31°C
26%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
4%
30°C 39%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
28°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
24°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
4%
27°C
$16 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
22%
30°C
$5 Vol.
35%
31°C
$23 Vol.
26%
32°C
$11 Vol.
14%
33°C
$25 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Istanbul on August 18 show a narrow spread of daily maximum temperatures centered on 29–31°C, driven by persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes supply cooler marine air that caps surface heating, while variable cloud cover and humidity levels introduce the main uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes. Ensemble guidance reflects historical August variability around the 27–29°C climatological average, with minor shifts in wind speed or insolation capable of pushing the peak across the 30°C threshold. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$90Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Istanbul on August 18 show a narrow spread of daily maximum temperatures centered on 29–31°C, driven by persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes supply cooler marine air that caps surface heating, while variable cloud cover and humidity levels introduce the main uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes. Ensemble guidance reflects historical August variability around the 27–29°C climatological average, with minor shifts in wind speed or insolation capable of pushing the peak across the 30°C threshold. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Istanbul on August 18 show a narrow spread of daily maximum temperatures centered on 29–31°C, driven by persistent high pressure and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean patterns. Black Sea and Bosphorus sea breezes supply cooler marine air that caps surface heating, while variable cloud cover and humidity levels introduce the main uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes. Ensemble guidance reflects historical August variability around the 27–29°C climatological average, with minor shifts in wind speed or insolation capable of pushing the peak across the 30°C threshold. Updated model runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan