Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 35% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and light onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures close to seasonal normals of 75-80°F, with limited diurnal heating expected due to marine air influence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no heat advection signals that would push readings into the low 80s or higher, keeping 80-81°F at 23% as the next most favored outcome while lower bins reflect downside risks from increased cloud cover.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 15?
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
16%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 36%
80-81°F 24%
76-77°F 16%
82-83°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$232 Vol.
7%
76-77°F
$248 Vol.
16%
78-79°F
$72 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$297 Vol.
24%
82-83°F
$56 Vol.
8%
84-85°F
$186 Vol.
4%
86-87°F
$80 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$26 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$165 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$361 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 35% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and light onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures close to seasonal normals of 75-80°F, with limited diurnal heating expected due to marine air influence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no heat advection signals that would push readings into the low 80s or higher, keeping 80-81°F at 23% as the next most favored outcome while lower bins reflect downside risks from increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,722Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 35% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and light onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures close to seasonal normals of 75-80°F, with limited diurnal heating expected due to marine air influence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no heat advection signals that would push readings into the low 80s or higher, keeping 80-81°F at 23% as the next most favored outcome while lower bins reflect downside risks from increased cloud cover.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,722Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on August 15, 2026, call for mostly sunny skies and a high near 78°F, aligning with the market's leading 78-79°F bin at 35% implied probability. Persistent high pressure and light onshore flow from the Pacific are moderating temperatures close to seasonal normals of 75-80°F, with limited diurnal heating expected due to marine air influence. Recent model runs show minimal day-to-day variability and no heat advection signals that would push readings into the low 80s or higher, keeping 80-81°F at 23% as the next most favored outcome while lower bins reflect downside risks from increased cloud cover.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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