Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon highlight widespread thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected over Shenzhen on August 18, which suppress peak solar heating and position 31°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability. Subtropical humidity near 80% and typical August convective patterns, reinforced by recent observations of 32–34°C highs on the 16th–17th that are trending lower with incoming moisture, support 32°C at 26.5% as the next most favored result. These conditions align with climatological baselines where rainfall frequently caps daily maxima below seasonal averages of 32°C, though any delay in storm development could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Updated ensemble runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and land-sea breeze effects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 18?
31°C 35%
32°C 27%
30°C 13%
33°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
13%
31°C
35%
32°C
27%
33°C
13%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 35%
32°C 27%
30°C 13%
33°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
26°C or below
$338 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$338 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$94 Vol.
2%
29°C
$217 Vol.
8%
30°C
$143 Vol.
13%
31°C
$855 Vol.
35%
32°C
$206 Vol.
27%
33°C
$185 Vol.
13%
34°C
$265 Vol.
5%
35°C
$45 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$36 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon highlight widespread thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected over Shenzhen on August 18, which suppress peak solar heating and position 31°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability. Subtropical humidity near 80% and typical August convective patterns, reinforced by recent observations of 32–34°C highs on the 16th–17th that are trending lower with incoming moisture, support 32°C at 26.5% as the next most favored result. These conditions align with climatological baselines where rainfall frequently caps daily maxima below seasonal averages of 32°C, though any delay in storm development could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Updated ensemble runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and land-sea breeze effects.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,722Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon highlight widespread thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected over Shenzhen on August 18, which suppress peak solar heating and position 31°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability. Subtropical humidity near 80% and typical August convective patterns, reinforced by recent observations of 32–34°C highs on the 16th–17th that are trending lower with incoming moisture, support 32°C at 26.5% as the next most favored result. These conditions align with climatological baselines where rainfall frequently caps daily maxima below seasonal averages of 32°C, though any delay in storm development could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Updated ensemble runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and land-sea breeze effects.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,722Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies tracking the East Asian monsoon highlight widespread thunderstorms and increased cloud cover expected over Shenzhen on August 18, which suppress peak solar heating and position 31°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability. Subtropical humidity near 80% and typical August convective patterns, reinforced by recent observations of 32–34°C highs on the 16th–17th that are trending lower with incoming moisture, support 32°C at 26.5% as the next most favored result. These conditions align with climatological baselines where rainfall frequently caps daily maxima below seasonal averages of 32°C, though any delay in storm development could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Updated ensemble runs closer to the date will refine steering patterns and land-sea breeze effects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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