Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles position Moscow's maximum temperature on August 18 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities on those exact thresholds. Typical late-summer conditions feature moderate high pressure, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that support daytime heating without extreme amplification, consistent with August climatological highs averaging 20–22°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with limited spread, though minor revisions in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or insolation could shift the observed peak within the narrow 21–24°C range. Official station data will resolve the market, and traders are weighting the tight consensus from short-range ensembles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 18?
23°C 41%
22°C 28%
24°C 21%
21°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
5%
19°C
7%
20°C
12%
21°C
14%
22°C
28%
23°C
41%
24°C
21%
25°C
9%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
3%
23°C 41%
22°C 28%
24°C 21%
21°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
18°C or below
$4 Vol.
5%
19°C
$75 Vol.
7%
20°C
$27 Vol.
12%
21°C
$0 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
28%
23°C
$5 Vol.
41%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$90 Vol.
9%
26°C
$77 Vol.
3%
27°C
$5 Vol.
7%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles position Moscow's maximum temperature on August 18 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities on those exact thresholds. Typical late-summer conditions feature moderate high pressure, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that support daytime heating without extreme amplification, consistent with August climatological highs averaging 20–22°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with limited spread, though minor revisions in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or insolation could shift the observed peak within the narrow 21–24°C range. Official station data will resolve the market, and traders are weighting the tight consensus from short-range ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$282Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles position Moscow's maximum temperature on August 18 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities on those exact thresholds. Typical late-summer conditions feature moderate high pressure, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that support daytime heating without extreme amplification, consistent with August climatological highs averaging 20–22°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with limited spread, though minor revisions in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or insolation could shift the observed peak within the narrow 21–24°C range. Official station data will resolve the market, and traders are weighting the tight consensus from short-range ensembles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$282Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles position Moscow's maximum temperature on August 18 near 22–24°C, aligning with the market's leading implied probabilities on those exact thresholds. Typical late-summer conditions feature moderate high pressure, light winds, and partly cloudy skies that support daytime heating without extreme amplification, consistent with August climatological highs averaging 20–22°C. Recent model runs show stable guidance with limited spread, though minor revisions in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or insolation could shift the observed peak within the narrow 21–24°C range. Official station data will resolve the market, and traders are weighting the tight consensus from short-range ensembles.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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