Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, position Moscow's August 17 high near 23–25 °C under typical late-summer continental conditions with moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the climatological average high of roughly 22 °C for mid-August and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection that would push extremes higher. Recent model updates show only minor spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 24 °C (46 % implied probability) while capping odds on 26 °C or above due to expected cloud cover and light precipitation. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center will refine the exact peak on resolution day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
24°C 46%
23°C 24%
25°C 16%
22°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
6%
23°C
24%
24°C
46%
25°C
16%
26°C
5%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 24%
25°C 16%
22°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
$115 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$155 Vol.
2%
21°C
$102 Vol.
3%
22°C
$188 Vol.
6%
23°C
$346 Vol.
24%
24°C
$287 Vol.
46%
25°C
$762 Vol.
16%
26°C
$248 Vol.
5%
27°C
$197 Vol.
2%
28°C
$94 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$130 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, position Moscow's August 17 high near 23–25 °C under typical late-summer continental conditions with moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the climatological average high of roughly 22 °C for mid-August and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection that would push extremes higher. Recent model updates show only minor spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 24 °C (46 % implied probability) while capping odds on 26 °C or above due to expected cloud cover and light precipitation. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center will refine the exact peak on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$2,481Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, position Moscow's August 17 high near 23–25 °C under typical late-summer continental conditions with moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the climatological average high of roughly 22 °C for mid-August and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection that would push extremes higher. Recent model updates show only minor spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 24 °C (46 % implied probability) while capping odds on 26 °C or above due to expected cloud cover and light precipitation. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center will refine the exact peak on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,481Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including consensus runs from global ensembles, position Moscow's August 17 high near 23–25 °C under typical late-summer continental conditions with moderate westerly flow and limited daytime heating. This aligns with the climatological average high of roughly 22 °C for mid-August and the absence of strong high-pressure blocking or warm advection that would push extremes higher. Recent model updates show only minor spread, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 24 °C (46 % implied probability) while capping odds on 26 °C or above due to expected cloud cover and light precipitation. Updated forecasts from agencies such as the Russian Hydrometeorological Center will refine the exact peak on resolution day.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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