The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to drive cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated rain chances (around 60%) over Metro Manila on August 17, moderating daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes per current PAGASA guidance and model consensus. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under active monsoon flow, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and cap maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C. Recent forecasts emphasize this setup persisting through the 15–17 window, with official outlooks showing limited model divergence on intensity. Traders appear to weigh the monsoon’s cooling effect against any brief clearing that could allow a 30°C spike, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of extreme suppression or brief spikes amid ongoing moisture. Updated agency briefings on steering patterns and rainfall totals will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Manila on August 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 17?
29°C 45%
28°C 32%
30°C 16%
27°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
6%
28°C
32%
29°C
45%
30°C
16%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 45%
28°C 32%
30°C 16%
27°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$92 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$109 Vol.
1%
26°C
$348 Vol.
1%
27°C
$162 Vol.
6%
28°C
$231 Vol.
32%
29°C
$1,801 Vol.
45%
30°C
$159 Vol.
16%
31°C
$282 Vol.
6%
32°C
$449 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$310 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to drive cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated rain chances (around 60%) over Metro Manila on August 17, moderating daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes per current PAGASA guidance and model consensus. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under active monsoon flow, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and cap maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C. Recent forecasts emphasize this setup persisting through the 15–17 window, with official outlooks showing limited model divergence on intensity. Traders appear to weigh the monsoon’s cooling effect against any brief clearing that could allow a 30°C spike, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of extreme suppression or brief spikes amid ongoing moisture. Updated agency briefings on steering patterns and rainfall totals will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volume
$4,036Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to drive cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated rain chances (around 60%) over Metro Manila on August 17, moderating daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes per current PAGASA guidance and model consensus. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under active monsoon flow, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and cap maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C. Recent forecasts emphasize this setup persisting through the 15–17 window, with official outlooks showing limited model divergence on intensity. Traders appear to weigh the monsoon’s cooling effect against any brief clearing that could allow a 30°C spike, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of extreme suppression or brief spikes amid ongoing moisture. Updated agency briefings on steering patterns and rainfall totals will provide the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,036Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The southwest monsoon, or habagat, continues to drive cloudy skies, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated rain chances (around 60%) over Metro Manila on August 17, moderating daytime heating and positioning the highest temperature near 28–30°C as the leading outcomes per current PAGASA guidance and model consensus. These conditions align with typical mid-August patterns under active monsoon flow, where persistent cloud cover and precipitation limit solar insolation and cap maxima below seasonal averages near 31°C. Recent forecasts emphasize this setup persisting through the 15–17 window, with official outlooks showing limited model divergence on intensity. Traders appear to weigh the monsoon’s cooling effect against any brief clearing that could allow a 30°C spike, while lower probabilities reflect the low likelihood of extreme suppression or brief spikes amid ongoing moisture. Updated agency briefings on steering patterns and rainfall totals will provide the next key data points before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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