Recent ensemble forecasts from global weather models show scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin suppressing maximum temperatures in Chengdu on August 18, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable outcomes despite a seasonal August average near 29–31°C. These conditions reduce solar heating and limit daytime warming compared with typical subtropical humidity patterns, with model consensus favoring below-normal highs. Official monitoring agencies note the influence of regional steering patterns that favor increased precipitation chances over the next 48 hours. Traders incorporate this meteorological data alongside historical August variability when assessing resolution thresholds for daily maximum readings. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date may refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 18?
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
23°C 24%
25°C 19%
22°C 9%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
9%
23°C
24%
24°C
40%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global weather models show scattered thundershowers and persistent cloud cover across the Sichuan Basin suppressing maximum temperatures in Chengdu on August 18, positioning 23–25°C as the most probable outcomes despite a seasonal August average near 29–31°C. These conditions reduce solar heating and limit daytime warming compared with typical subtropical humidity patterns, with model consensus favoring below-normal highs. Official monitoring agencies note the influence of regional steering patterns that favor increased precipitation chances over the next 48 hours. Traders incorporate this meteorological data alongside historical August variability when assessing resolution thresholds for daily maximum readings. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of the date may refine these probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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