Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, with a mix of sun and clouds under northerly flow limiting peak temperatures to the 28–30°C range. Midweek highs reached 33–38°C amid the earlier alert, but model consensus now shows stabilization near seasonal norms around 29°C, with urban heat island effects and minor variations in timing of cloud build-up or boundary layer mixing creating tight uncertainty between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Trader probabilities reflect this narrow spread, consistent with historical late-August variability and the influence of updated short-range guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24–48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 16?
30°C 41%
29°C 34%
31°C 15%
28°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
34%
30°C
41%
31°C
15%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 41%
29°C 34%
31°C 15%
28°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
25°C or below
$45 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$124 Vol.
1%
27°C
$37 Vol.
3%
28°C
$314 Vol.
11%
29°C
$230 Vol.
34%
30°C
$303 Vol.
41%
31°C
$121 Vol.
15%
32°C
$38 Vol.
1%
33°C
$17 Vol.
1%
34°C
$29 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$93 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, with a mix of sun and clouds under northerly flow limiting peak temperatures to the 28–30°C range. Midweek highs reached 33–38°C amid the earlier alert, but model consensus now shows stabilization near seasonal norms around 29°C, with urban heat island effects and minor variations in timing of cloud build-up or boundary layer mixing creating tight uncertainty between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Trader probabilities reflect this narrow spread, consistent with historical late-August variability and the influence of updated short-range guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$1,350Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, with a mix of sun and clouds under northerly flow limiting peak temperatures to the 28–30°C range. Midweek highs reached 33–38°C amid the earlier alert, but model consensus now shows stabilization near seasonal norms around 29°C, with urban heat island effects and minor variations in timing of cloud build-up or boundary layer mixing creating tight uncertainty between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Trader probabilities reflect this narrow spread, consistent with historical late-August variability and the influence of updated short-range guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,350Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate a post-heatwave cooldown for Paris on August 16, with a mix of sun and clouds under northerly flow limiting peak temperatures to the 28–30°C range. Midweek highs reached 33–38°C amid the earlier alert, but model consensus now shows stabilization near seasonal norms around 29°C, with urban heat island effects and minor variations in timing of cloud build-up or boundary layer mixing creating tight uncertainty between 29°C and 30°C outcomes. Trader probabilities reflect this narrow spread, consistent with historical late-August variability and the influence of updated short-range guidance expected from official agencies in the next 24–48 hours.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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