Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Texas driving sunny, subsiding conditions and daytime highs in the low 100s for Austin on August 17. With dew points in the mid-70s and light southerly flow, heat index values may reach 105–110 °F, while minimal cloud cover and near-zero rain chances support the market’s concentration on 100–105 °F bins. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any diurnal heating peak, minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and whether a subtle moisture surge arrives late in the day. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 17?
102-103°F 37%
100-101°F 36%
106-107°F 14%
104-105°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
20%
102-103°F
29%
104-105°F
13%
106-107°F
14%
108-109°F
10%
110-111°F
4%
112°F or higher
3%
102-103°F 37%
100-101°F 36%
106-107°F 14%
104-105°F 13%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
93°F or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$5 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$0 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$2 Vol.
11%
100-101°F
$16 Vol.
20%
102-103°F
$22 Vol.
29%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
13%
106-107°F
$11 Vol.
14%
108-109°F
$5 Vol.
10%
110-111°F
$0 Vol.
4%
112°F or higher
$33 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Texas driving sunny, subsiding conditions and daytime highs in the low 100s for Austin on August 17. With dew points in the mid-70s and light southerly flow, heat index values may reach 105–110 °F, while minimal cloud cover and near-zero rain chances support the market’s concentration on 100–105 °F bins. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any diurnal heating peak, minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and whether a subtle moisture surge arrives late in the day. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$100Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Texas driving sunny, subsiding conditions and daytime highs in the low 100s for Austin on August 17. With dew points in the mid-70s and light southerly flow, heat index values may reach 105–110 °F, while minimal cloud cover and near-zero rain chances support the market’s concentration on 100–105 °F bins. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any diurnal heating peak, minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and whether a subtle moisture surge arrives late in the day. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$100Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance point to a persistent high-pressure ridge over Central Texas driving sunny, subsiding conditions and daytime highs in the low 100s for Austin on August 17. With dew points in the mid-70s and light southerly flow, heat index values may reach 105–110 °F, while minimal cloud cover and near-zero rain chances support the market’s concentration on 100–105 °F bins. Small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any diurnal heating peak, minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing, and whether a subtle moisture surge arrives late in the day. Updated NWS briefings and morning model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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