**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 15?
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$21,402 Vol.
$21,402 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
Yes
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
102-103°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$21,402 Vol.
$21,402 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
91°F or below
$193 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$295 Vol.
No
94-95°F
$752 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$2,504 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$3,392 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$5,935 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$4,505 Vol.
Yes
104-105°F
$1,367 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$1,148 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$777 Vol.
No
110°F or higher
$534 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,402Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,402Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Persistent high-pressure ridging and south-southwest flow across central Texas produced mostly sunny skies and minimal afternoon convection on August 15, allowing daytime temperatures to climb to an observed high of 102°F at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS).** This outcome sits well above the 98°F August climatological normal yet below the 105°F daily record, consistent with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus that limited cloud cover and dew points in the mid-70s would support heat indices above 105°F without significant cooling. Trader consensus rapidly consolidated on the 102-103°F bin once preliminary observations confirmed the peak near 2:51 p.m. CDT. Only a substantial revision in official station data or an unexpected late-day cooling event could have shifted resolution, scenarios that did not materialize given the stable synoptic pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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