Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate sunny conditions and a maximum temperature near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Light winds and dry air masses limit mixing and evaporative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to peak in the mid-afternoon under typical August climatology. The tight spread between 25°C and 26°C market-implied odds stems from minor ensemble variations in boundary-layer heating rates and exact timing of the diurnal maximum, with traders weighing historical analogs of similar synoptic setups that have produced either outcome depending on subtle moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 15?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 15?
26°C 41%
25°C 39%
24°C 15%
27°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
15%
25°C
39%
26°C
41%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 39%
24°C 15%
27°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 15, 2026
19°C or below
$107 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$99 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$678 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$686 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,078 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,661 Vol.
15%
25°C
$1,324 Vol.
39%
26°C
$2,418 Vol.
41%
27°C
$1,085 Vol.
6%
28°C
$626 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate sunny conditions and a maximum temperature near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Light winds and dry air masses limit mixing and evaporative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to peak in the mid-afternoon under typical August climatology. The tight spread between 25°C and 26°C market-implied odds stems from minor ensemble variations in boundary-layer heating rates and exact timing of the diurnal maximum, with traders weighing historical analogs of similar synoptic setups that have produced either outcome depending on subtle moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$9,983Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate sunny conditions and a maximum temperature near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Light winds and dry air masses limit mixing and evaporative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to peak in the mid-afternoon under typical August climatology. The tight spread between 25°C and 26°C market-implied odds stems from minor ensemble variations in boundary-layer heating rates and exact timing of the diurnal maximum, with traders weighing historical analogs of similar synoptic setups that have produced either outcome depending on subtle moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,983Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and other agencies indicate sunny conditions and a maximum temperature near 26°C for Toronto on August 15, driven by a stable high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Light winds and dry air masses limit mixing and evaporative cooling, allowing surface temperatures to peak in the mid-afternoon under typical August climatology. The tight spread between 25°C and 26°C market-implied odds stems from minor ensemble variations in boundary-layer heating rates and exact timing of the diurnal maximum, with traders weighing historical analogs of similar synoptic setups that have produced either outcome depending on subtle moisture or wind shifts. Updated model runs and official observations will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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