Current short-range forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models points to a mix of sun and cloud over Toronto on August 14, supporting a daily maximum near 23–25 °C under modest southwesterly flow and typical Lake Ontario moderation. This places the most likely outcomes in the tightly bunched 24–27 °C range, where subtle differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak trough can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Higher probabilities taper quickly above 30 °C because ensemble members show limited warm-air advection or subsidence to support such values, while sub-24 °C outcomes remain low given the absence of stronger onshore flow or widespread cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Toronto on August 14?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 14?
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
29°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
16%
27°C
38%
28°C
27%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
3%
27°C 49%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
29°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
23°C or below
$14 Vol.
1%
24°C
$12 Vol.
5%
25°C
$14 Vol.
5%
26°C
$57 Vol.
16%
27°C
$36 Vol.
38%
28°C
$18 Vol.
27%
29°C
$14 Vol.
7%
30°C
$18 Vol.
1%
31°C
$34 Vol.
2%
32°C
$12 Vol.
3%
33°C or higher
$12 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models points to a mix of sun and cloud over Toronto on August 14, supporting a daily maximum near 23–25 °C under modest southwesterly flow and typical Lake Ontario moderation. This places the most likely outcomes in the tightly bunched 24–27 °C range, where subtle differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak trough can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Higher probabilities taper quickly above 30 °C because ensemble members show limited warm-air advection or subsidence to support such values, while sub-24 °C outcomes remain low given the absence of stronger onshore flow or widespread cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Volume
$164Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models points to a mix of sun and cloud over Toronto on August 14, supporting a daily maximum near 23–25 °C under modest southwesterly flow and typical Lake Ontario moderation. This places the most likely outcomes in the tightly bunched 24–27 °C range, where subtle differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak trough can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Higher probabilities taper quickly above 30 °C because ensemble members show limited warm-air advection or subsidence to support such values, while sub-24 °C outcomes remain low given the absence of stronger onshore flow or widespread cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$164Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models points to a mix of sun and cloud over Toronto on August 14, supporting a daily maximum near 23–25 °C under modest southwesterly flow and typical Lake Ontario moderation. This places the most likely outcomes in the tightly bunched 24–27 °C range, where subtle differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing depth, or a passing weak trough can shift the peak by 1–2 °C. Higher probabilities taper quickly above 30 °C because ensemble members show limited warm-air advection or subsidence to support such values, while sub-24 °C outcomes remain low given the absence of stronger onshore flow or widespread cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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