Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight a strengthening subtropical ridge and heat dome over the southern Plains sustaining clear skies and strong surface heating across southeast Texas, driving trader consensus toward mid-90s highs for Houston on August 14. Official forecasts cluster between 93–97°F depending on the precise timing of any sea-breeze front or isolated afternoon convection, which explains the near-even split between the 92–93°F (39%) and 94–95°F (36.5%) bins. Historical August climatology places average daily maxima near 95°F, while current dew-point and wind fields suggest limited moderation near the coast but potential for localized 98°F readings farther inland. Updated high-resolution runs and real-time observations through midday Friday will refine the peak before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 14?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 14?
92-93°F 40%
94-95°F 37%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
13%
92-93°F
40%
94-95°F
37%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
3%
100°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 40%
94-95°F 37%
90-91°F 13%
96-97°F 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 14, 2026
81°F or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$166 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$162 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$121 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$315 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$921 Vol.
13%
92-93°F
$756 Vol.
40%
94-95°F
$657 Vol.
37%
96-97°F
$235 Vol.
7%
98-99°F
$156 Vol.
3%
100°F or higher
$360 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight a strengthening subtropical ridge and heat dome over the southern Plains sustaining clear skies and strong surface heating across southeast Texas, driving trader consensus toward mid-90s highs for Houston on August 14. Official forecasts cluster between 93–97°F depending on the precise timing of any sea-breeze front or isolated afternoon convection, which explains the near-even split between the 92–93°F (39%) and 94–95°F (36.5%) bins. Historical August climatology places average daily maxima near 95°F, while current dew-point and wind fields suggest limited moderation near the coast but potential for localized 98°F readings farther inland. Updated high-resolution runs and real-time observations through midday Friday will refine the peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$4,015Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight a strengthening subtropical ridge and heat dome over the southern Plains sustaining clear skies and strong surface heating across southeast Texas, driving trader consensus toward mid-90s highs for Houston on August 14. Official forecasts cluster between 93–97°F depending on the precise timing of any sea-breeze front or isolated afternoon convection, which explains the near-even split between the 92–93°F (39%) and 94–95°F (36.5%) bins. Historical August climatology places average daily maxima near 95°F, while current dew-point and wind fields suggest limited moderation near the coast but potential for localized 98°F readings farther inland. Updated high-resolution runs and real-time observations through midday Friday will refine the peak before market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,015Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance highlight a strengthening subtropical ridge and heat dome over the southern Plains sustaining clear skies and strong surface heating across southeast Texas, driving trader consensus toward mid-90s highs for Houston on August 14. Official forecasts cluster between 93–97°F depending on the precise timing of any sea-breeze front or isolated afternoon convection, which explains the near-even split between the 92–93°F (39%) and 94–95°F (36.5%) bins. Historical August climatology places average daily maxima near 95°F, while current dew-point and wind fields suggest limited moderation near the coast but potential for localized 98°F readings farther inland. Updated high-resolution runs and real-time observations through midday Friday will refine the peak before market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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