Official National Weather Service and private model consensus forecasts a Dallas high near 101°F on August 14 under sunny skies and moderate southerly flow, positioning the 100-101°F bin as the clear market leader at 60% implied probability. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 100°F amid persistent high pressure and limited moisture. Heat advisories remain in effect, reflecting elevated heat index values near 102°F from low humidity and light winds. The 98-99°F outcome trails at 32.5% while higher bins stay below 7%, as ensemble guidance shows minimal upside risk from intensification or advection shifts before evening. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily maximum readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Dallas on August 14?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 14?
100-101°F 60%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 3%
BARU
$17,253 Vol.
BARU
$17,253 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
60%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 60%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 3%
BARU
$17,253 Vol.
BARU
$17,253 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
95°F or below
$2,412 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,168 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$2,649 Vol.
33%
100-101°F
$4,461 Vol.
60%
102-103°F
$1,738 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$1,438 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$1,389 Vol.
1%
108-109°F
$805 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$398 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$408 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$388 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and private model consensus forecasts a Dallas high near 101°F on August 14 under sunny skies and moderate southerly flow, positioning the 100-101°F bin as the clear market leader at 60% implied probability. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 100°F amid persistent high pressure and limited moisture. Heat advisories remain in effect, reflecting elevated heat index values near 102°F from low humidity and light winds. The 98-99°F outcome trails at 32.5% while higher bins stay below 7%, as ensemble guidance shows minimal upside risk from intensification or advection shifts before evening. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$17,253Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service and private model consensus forecasts a Dallas high near 101°F on August 14 under sunny skies and moderate southerly flow, positioning the 100-101°F bin as the clear market leader at 60% implied probability. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 100°F amid persistent high pressure and limited moisture. Heat advisories remain in effect, reflecting elevated heat index values near 102°F from low humidity and light winds. The 98-99°F outcome trails at 32.5% while higher bins stay below 7%, as ensemble guidance shows minimal upside risk from intensification or advection shifts before evening. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily maximum readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,253Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service and private model consensus forecasts a Dallas high near 101°F on August 14 under sunny skies and moderate southerly flow, positioning the 100-101°F bin as the clear market leader at 60% implied probability. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 100°F amid persistent high pressure and limited moisture. Heat advisories remain in effect, reflecting elevated heat index values near 102°F from low humidity and light winds. The 98-99°F outcome trails at 32.5% while higher bins stay below 7%, as ensemble guidance shows minimal upside risk from intensification or advection shifts before evening. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine these probabilities ahead of official daily maximum readings.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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