**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, centers on 16°C as the clear leader (64.5% implied probability), followed by 15°C (14.5%) and 17°C (11.0%).** This distribution aligns with official forecasts from sources like timeanddate, BBC Weather, and the UK Met Office, which project a daytime maximum near 15°C under overcast skies with light sprinkles or drizzle and light easterly winds. August falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when Buenos Aires typically sees average highs of 15–18°C (59–64°F) under the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which brings mild, humid maritime air. Current conditions feature limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover, keeping temperatures from climbing significantly above seasonal norms while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus shows little day-to-day volatility, with no strong cold fronts or warm advection expected. Recent data indicate the month has run slightly above the long-term August mean of roughly 13°C, with earlier peaks reaching 21°C, but today’s stable synoptic pattern supports the narrow 15–17°C band dominating market odds. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations will determine whether the high edges toward 16–17°C or stays capped near 15°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
16°C 63%
15°C 15%
17°C 15%
14°C 3%
$17,563 Vol.
$17,563 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
15%
16°C
63%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 63%
15°C 15%
17°C 15%
14°C 3%
$17,563 Vol.
$17,563 Vol.
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
15%
16°C
63%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15, 2026, centers on 16°C as the clear leader (64.5% implied probability), followed by 15°C (14.5%) and 17°C (11.0%).** This distribution aligns with official forecasts from sources like timeanddate, BBC Weather, and the UK Met Office, which project a daytime maximum near 15°C under overcast skies with light sprinkles or drizzle and light easterly winds. August falls in the Southern Hemisphere winter, when Buenos Aires typically sees average highs of 15–18°C (59–64°F) under the influence of the South Atlantic high-pressure system, which brings mild, humid maritime air. Current conditions feature limited solar heating due to persistent cloud cover, keeping temperatures from climbing significantly above seasonal norms while preventing sharp drops. Model consensus shows little day-to-day volatility, with no strong cold fronts or warm advection expected. Recent data indicate the month has run slightly above the long-term August mean of roughly 13°C, with earlier peaks reaching 21°C, but today’s stable synoptic pattern supports the narrow 15–17°C band dominating market odds. Updated short-range guidance and real-time observations will determine whether the high edges toward 16–17°C or stays capped near 15°C before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui



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