Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 15 indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and highs near 24–27°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C. The city’s high elevation around 2,240 meters limits peak temperatures through thinner atmosphere and rapid radiative cooling, while the ongoing rainy season—driven by moisture from tropical waves—promotes cloud cover that reduces solar heating. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Ventusky shows daytime maxima typically 1–3°C below clear-sky potential due to these conditions. Historical August averages near 24°C provide a baseline, with recent daily maxima of 25°C reinforcing trader focus on modest deviations from climatology. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify whether convective activity suppresses or allows brief warming toward the upper end of the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 15?
26°C 41%
27°C 38%
25°C 11%
28°C 9%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
41%
27°C
38%
28°C
9%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 41%
27°C 38%
25°C 11%
28°C 9%
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
11%
26°C
41%
27°C
38%
28°C
9%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Mexico City on August 15 indicate partly cloudy skies with scattered showers and highs near 24–27°C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 26°C and 27°C. The city’s high elevation around 2,240 meters limits peak temperatures through thinner atmosphere and rapid radiative cooling, while the ongoing rainy season—driven by moisture from tropical waves—promotes cloud cover that reduces solar heating. Model consensus from sources such as AccuWeather and Ventusky shows daytime maxima typically 1–3°C below clear-sky potential due to these conditions. Historical August averages near 24°C provide a baseline, with recent daily maxima of 25°C reinforcing trader focus on modest deviations from climatology. Updated model runs and official observations will clarify whether convective activity suppresses or allows brief warming toward the upper end of the leading outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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