Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models, including the UK Met Office, centers on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and typical Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal heating. These conditions align closely with the long-term August average of roughly 30–32°C, producing the tight market split between the leading 32°C (48.5%) and 31°C (41.5%) outcomes. Minor differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon insolation could shift the official station reading by 1°C, while the absence of anomalous subtropical flow or heatwave signals keeps probabilities for 33°C and above below 10%. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 17?
32°C 48%
31°C 42%
30°C 6%
33°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
42%
32°C
48%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 42%
30°C 6%
33°C 5%
BARU
BARU
Aug 17, 2026
26°C or below
$156 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$20 Vol.
2%
30°C
$363 Vol.
6%
31°C
$407 Vol.
42%
32°C
$1,398 Vol.
48%
33°C
$640 Vol.
5%
34°C
$79 Vol.
2%
35°C
$279 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$409 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models, including the UK Met Office, centers on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and typical Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal heating. These conditions align closely with the long-term August average of roughly 30–32°C, producing the tight market split between the leading 32°C (48.5%) and 31°C (41.5%) outcomes. Minor differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon insolation could shift the official station reading by 1°C, while the absence of anomalous subtropical flow or heatwave signals keeps probabilities for 33°C and above below 10%. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$4,038Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models, including the UK Met Office, centers on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and typical Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal heating. These conditions align closely with the long-term August average of roughly 30–32°C, producing the tight market split between the leading 32°C (48.5%) and 31°C (41.5%) outcomes. Minor differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon insolation could shift the official station reading by 1°C, while the absence of anomalous subtropical flow or heatwave signals keeps probabilities for 33°C and above below 10%. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,038Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models, including the UK Met Office, centers on a daytime maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and typical Mediterranean sea breezes that moderate coastal heating. These conditions align closely with the long-term August average of roughly 30–32°C, producing the tight market split between the leading 32°C (48.5%) and 31°C (41.5%) outcomes. Minor differences in wind speed, boundary-layer mixing, or afternoon insolation could shift the official station reading by 1°C, while the absence of anomalous subtropical flow or heatwave signals keeps probabilities for 33°C and above below 10%. Updated model runs and local observations tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution data.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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