Official forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as the Met Office projects a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light westerly flow, and moderate humidity. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating without significant heat advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 69.5% implied probability. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or local sea-breeze timing could shift the exact high between 32°C and 34°C, explaining the secondary probabilities at 19.5% and 11.0%. No recent model runs or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, keeping extremes below 30°C or above 35°C at negligible odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 70%
32°C 20%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
70%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
32°C 20%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$371 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$751 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$312 Vol.
2%
32°C
$1,069 Vol.
20%
33°C
$1,304 Vol.
70%
34°C
$796 Vol.
11%
35°C
$397 Vol.
1%
36°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$422 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$304 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as the Met Office projects a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light westerly flow, and moderate humidity. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating without significant heat advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 69.5% implied probability. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or local sea-breeze timing could shift the exact high between 32°C and 34°C, explaining the secondary probabilities at 19.5% and 11.0%. No recent model runs or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, keeping extremes below 30°C or above 35°C at negligible odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$6,577Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as the Met Office projects a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light westerly flow, and moderate humidity. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating without significant heat advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 69.5% implied probability. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or local sea-breeze timing could shift the exact high between 32°C and 34°C, explaining the secondary probabilities at 19.5% and 11.0%. No recent model runs or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, keeping extremes below 30°C or above 35°C at negligible odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,577Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecast consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models such as the Met Office projects a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in Tel Aviv on August 16 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light westerly flow, and moderate humidity. This setup favors strong daytime radiative heating without significant heat advection or cloud cover to suppress peaks, positioning 33°C as the market leader at 69.5% implied probability. Minor variations in boundary-layer mixing or local sea-breeze timing could shift the exact high between 32°C and 34°C, explaining the secondary probabilities at 19.5% and 11.0%. No recent model runs or atmospheric changes have altered the outlook, keeping extremes below 30°C or above 35°C at negligible odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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