Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's August 16 overnight low centered near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–90% and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Calm winds reduce mixing of cooler air aloft, while the urban heat island effect from the dense cityscape adds slight warmth compared to rural baselines. Recent Typhoon Dolphin remnants have increased moisture, narrowing the gap between 25°C and 26°C outcomes as small forecast shifts in cloud cover or dew point could tip the result. Traders weigh these variables against historical mid-August averages around 25–26°C, awaiting updated model runs for clearer signals before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
26°C 47%
25°C 43%
27°C 7%
24°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
43%
26°C
47%
27°C
7%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
25°C 43%
27°C 7%
24°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
$92 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$92 Vol.
1%
23°C
$536 Vol.
1%
24°C
$746 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,784 Vol.
43%
26°C
$1,601 Vol.
47%
27°C
$197 Vol.
7%
28°C
$511 Vol.
2%
29°C
$87 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$84 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's August 16 overnight low centered near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–90% and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Calm winds reduce mixing of cooler air aloft, while the urban heat island effect from the dense cityscape adds slight warmth compared to rural baselines. Recent Typhoon Dolphin remnants have increased moisture, narrowing the gap between 25°C and 26°C outcomes as small forecast shifts in cloud cover or dew point could tip the result. Traders weigh these variables against historical mid-August averages around 25–26°C, awaiting updated model runs for clearer signals before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$5,815Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's August 16 overnight low centered near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–90% and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Calm winds reduce mixing of cooler air aloft, while the urban heat island effect from the dense cityscape adds slight warmth compared to rural baselines. Recent Typhoon Dolphin remnants have increased moisture, narrowing the gap between 25°C and 26°C outcomes as small forecast shifts in cloud cover or dew point could tip the result. Traders weigh these variables against historical mid-August averages around 25–26°C, awaiting updated model runs for clearer signals before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,815Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's August 16 overnight low centered near 25–26°C, driven by persistent high humidity near 80–90% and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling under cloudy skies. Calm winds reduce mixing of cooler air aloft, while the urban heat island effect from the dense cityscape adds slight warmth compared to rural baselines. Recent Typhoon Dolphin remnants have increased moisture, narrowing the gap between 25°C and 26°C outcomes as small forecast shifts in cloud cover or dew point could tip the result. Traders weigh these variables against historical mid-August averages around 25–26°C, awaiting updated model runs for clearer signals before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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