Official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a maximum of 18–19°C in Cape Town on September 17 under clear skies, moderate southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h, and negligible precipitation. These conditions favor steady daytime warming from morning lows near 12°C, with ocean moderation and typical spring wind patterns limiting further rise. Recent model runs show high consistency after earlier clearing, aligning trader-implied probabilities heavily toward 19°C (59.5%) and 18°C (28.0%), while lower odds for 20°C or above reflect limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Historical September averages near 18°C provide additional context for the narrow outcome range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on September 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 17?
19°C 61%
18°C 27%
20°C 10%
17°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
27%
19°C
61%
20°C
10%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 61%
18°C 27%
20°C 10%
17°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Sep 17, 2026
13°C or below
$505 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$197 Vol.
2%
16°C
$456 Vol.
3%
17°C
$940 Vol.
4%
18°C
$1,171 Vol.
27%
19°C
$1,561 Vol.
61%
20°C
$404 Vol.
10%
21°C
$87 Vol.
2%
22°C
$30 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$516 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a maximum of 18–19°C in Cape Town on September 17 under clear skies, moderate southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h, and negligible precipitation. These conditions favor steady daytime warming from morning lows near 12°C, with ocean moderation and typical spring wind patterns limiting further rise. Recent model runs show high consistency after earlier clearing, aligning trader-implied probabilities heavily toward 19°C (59.5%) and 18°C (28.0%), while lower odds for 20°C or above reflect limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Historical September averages near 18°C provide additional context for the narrow outcome range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,868Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a maximum of 18–19°C in Cape Town on September 17 under clear skies, moderate southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h, and negligible precipitation. These conditions favor steady daytime warming from morning lows near 12°C, with ocean moderation and typical spring wind patterns limiting further rise. Recent model runs show high consistency after earlier clearing, aligning trader-implied probabilities heavily toward 19°C (59.5%) and 18°C (28.0%), while lower odds for 20°C or above reflect limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Historical September averages near 18°C provide additional context for the narrow outcome range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,868Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 17, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from sources including the South African Weather Service and international models indicate a maximum of 18–19°C in Cape Town on September 17 under clear skies, moderate southeasterly winds of 25–40 km/h, and negligible precipitation. These conditions favor steady daytime warming from morning lows near 12°C, with ocean moderation and typical spring wind patterns limiting further rise. Recent model runs show high consistency after earlier clearing, aligning trader-implied probabilities heavily toward 19°C (59.5%) and 18°C (28.0%), while lower odds for 20°C or above reflect limited upside potential absent unexpected warming. Historical September averages near 18°C provide additional context for the narrow outcome range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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