Persistent high pressure over the Hudson Bay region is sustaining northerly flow and cooler-than-normal air across the Midwest, driving the market's concentration around 68–73°F for Chicago's June 26 high despite a climatological normal near 83°F. Recent NOAA and NWS model runs show limited diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal passages that cap daytime maxima in the low to mid-70s, aligning with the heaviest trading in the 70–71°F bin at 26.5%. Key variables include ridge strength and position, steering pattern shifts that could briefly enhance warming, and any timing changes in boundary passage. With 48-hour forecast uncertainty remaining, traders assign lower probabilities to extremes while awaiting updated short-range guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on June 26?
Highest temperature in Chicago on June 26?
66-67°F 97.8%
68-69°F 1.7%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$73,188 Vol.
$73,188 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
98%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 97.8%
68-69°F 1.7%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$73,188 Vol.
$73,188 Vol.
Jun 26, 2026
65°F or below
$11,518 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$5,230 Vol.
98%
68-69°F
$12,275 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$7,466 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$9,186 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$9,596 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$4,806 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$7,836 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,775 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$1,604 Vol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$1,895 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Hudson Bay region is sustaining northerly flow and cooler-than-normal air across the Midwest, driving the market's concentration around 68–73°F for Chicago's June 26 high despite a climatological normal near 83°F. Recent NOAA and NWS model runs show limited diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal passages that cap daytime maxima in the low to mid-70s, aligning with the heaviest trading in the 70–71°F bin at 26.5%. Key variables include ridge strength and position, steering pattern shifts that could briefly enhance warming, and any timing changes in boundary passage. With 48-hour forecast uncertainty remaining, traders assign lower probabilities to extremes while awaiting updated short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$73,188Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over the Hudson Bay region is sustaining northerly flow and cooler-than-normal air across the Midwest, driving the market's concentration around 68–73°F for Chicago's June 26 high despite a climatological normal near 83°F. Recent NOAA and NWS model runs show limited diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal passages that cap daytime maxima in the low to mid-70s, aligning with the heaviest trading in the 70–71°F bin at 26.5%. Key variables include ridge strength and position, steering pattern shifts that could briefly enhance warming, and any timing changes in boundary passage. With 48-hour forecast uncertainty remaining, traders assign lower probabilities to extremes while awaiting updated short-range guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$73,188Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over the Hudson Bay region is sustaining northerly flow and cooler-than-normal air across the Midwest, driving the market's concentration around 68–73°F for Chicago's June 26 high despite a climatological normal near 83°F. Recent NOAA and NWS model runs show limited diurnal mixing and potential afternoon cloud cover or weak frontal passages that cap daytime maxima in the low to mid-70s, aligning with the heaviest trading in the 70–71°F bin at 26.5%. Key variables include ridge strength and position, steering pattern shifts that could briefly enhance warming, and any timing changes in boundary passage. With 48-hour forecast uncertainty remaining, traders assign lower probabilities to extremes while awaiting updated short-range guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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