High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Paris on June 28?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 28?
22°C 33%
21°C 28%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 28, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
28%
22°C
33%
23°C
22%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 33%
21°C 28%
23°C 22%
20°C 13%
BARU
BARU
Jun 28, 2026
18°C or below
$144 Vol.
1%
19°C
$130 Vol.
4%
20°C
$219 Vol.
13%
21°C
$2,569 Vol.
28%
22°C
$1,182 Vol.
33%
23°C
$377 Vol.
22%
24°C
$497 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$405 Vol.
1%
26°C
$264 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$6,098Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,098Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...High uncertainty in European model guidance for overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and potential thunderstorm activity is keeping trader-implied probabilities tightly clustered between 18 °C and 23 °C for Paris’s minimum temperature on June 28. Recent ECMWF and Météo-France runs show a modest cooling trend from the preceding heatwave, with forecast lows centered near 21–22 °C but sensitive to small shifts in boundary-layer moisture and wind. Historical June minima average 13–14 °C, yet current synoptic patterns favor elevated values; the next 00Z and 12Z model cycles will likely tighten the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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