Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's September 1 high will likely peak near 33–34 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating over the central plateau. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs reaching 35 °C if afternoon mixing is slightly stronger, while others stay at 33 °C depending on subtle advection shifts. Historical early-September baselines hover around 30–32 °C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies driven by suppressed Atlantic moisture and elevated 850 hPa temperatures. With resolution only hours away, traders weigh the latest hourly model updates against observational trends from nearby stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
35°C 46%
34°C 42%
32°C 14%
33°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
10%
34°C
42%
35°C
46%
36°C
8%
37°C
6%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 46%
34°C 42%
32°C 14%
33°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Sep 1, 2026
30°C or below
$29 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C
$0 Vol.
14%
33°C
$0 Vol.
10%
34°C
$14 Vol.
42%
35°C
$29 Vol.
46%
36°C
$7 Vol.
8%
37°C
$0 Vol.
6%
38°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's September 1 high will likely peak near 33–34 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating over the central plateau. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs reaching 35 °C if afternoon mixing is slightly stronger, while others stay at 33 °C depending on subtle advection shifts. Historical early-September baselines hover around 30–32 °C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies driven by suppressed Atlantic moisture and elevated 850 hPa temperatures. With resolution only hours away, traders weigh the latest hourly model updates against observational trends from nearby stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$79Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's September 1 high will likely peak near 33–34 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating over the central plateau. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs reaching 35 °C if afternoon mixing is slightly stronger, while others stay at 33 °C depending on subtle advection shifts. Historical early-September baselines hover around 30–32 °C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies driven by suppressed Atlantic moisture and elevated 850 hPa temperatures. With resolution only hours away, traders weigh the latest hourly model updates against observational trends from nearby stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$79Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Madrid's September 1 high will likely peak near 33–34 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light winds that favor strong daytime solar heating over the central plateau. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with some runs reaching 35 °C if afternoon mixing is slightly stronger, while others stay at 33 °C depending on subtle advection shifts. Historical early-September baselines hover around 30–32 °C, so current conditions represent modest positive anomalies driven by suppressed Atlantic moisture and elevated 850 hPa temperatures. With resolution only hours away, traders weigh the latest hourly model updates against observational trends from nearby stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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