Recent forecasts from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate a stable high-pressure ridge over southern Germany, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds maintaining daytime highs near 24–25°C in Munich on September 29. This setup favors limited diurnal warming and minimal cloud cover or moisture advection, positioning 25°C as the most probable peak under current model consensus. Late-September climatology shows typical highs of 18–22°C, so the warmer anomaly reflects persistent anticyclonic conditions rather than transient fronts. Minor model spread around peak timing and boundary-layer mixing supports secondary probabilities for 24°C or 26°C, while cooler or hotter extremes remain unlikely absent unexpected shifts in steering flow or insolation. Updated model runs and official DWD briefings in the next 12–24 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
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