Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C for Panama City on July 6 reflects the city's typical wet-season regime at 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective storms that limit peak insolation and cap maximum temperatures. High humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 28°C, and variable cloud cover create a narrow daily range, with small differences in storm timing or wind patterns able to shift the high by 1–2°C. Official short-range guidance and recent analogs show 30–33°C as the historical July cluster, leaving the closely matched market outcomes sensitive to the next model updates on local rainfall and radiative forcing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Panama City on July 6?
32°C 38%
33°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 5.5%
$14,568 Vol.
$14,568 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
38%
33°C
36%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 38%
33°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 5.5%
$14,568 Vol.
$14,568 Vol.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
6%
32°C
38%
33°C
36%
34°C
9%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering on 32–34°C for Panama City on July 6 reflects the city's typical wet-season regime at 9°N latitude, where the Intertropical Convergence Zone drives frequent afternoon convective storms that limit peak insolation and cap maximum temperatures. High humidity, elevated sea-surface temperatures near 28°C, and variable cloud cover create a narrow daily range, with small differences in storm timing or wind patterns able to shift the high by 1–2°C. Official short-range guidance and recent analogs show 30–33°C as the historical July cluster, leaving the closely matched market outcomes sensitive to the next model updates on local rainfall and radiative forcing.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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