Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 2?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 2?
31°C 27%
30°C 23%
32°C 23%
34°C or higher 21%
BARU
BARU
Jul 2, 2026
24°C or below
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
23%
31°C
27%
32°C
23%
33°C
15%
34°C or higher
21%
31°C 27%
30°C 23%
32°C 23%
34°C or higher 21%
BARU
BARU
Jul 2, 2026
24°C or below
$52 Vol.
1%
25°C
$52 Vol.
1%
26°C
$52 Vol.
1%
27°C
$30 Vol.
2%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$6 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
23%
31°C
$0 Vol.
27%
32°C
$0 Vol.
23%
33°C
$0 Vol.
15%
34°C or higher
$80 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$271Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$271Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 2, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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