Current short-range model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a peak temperature near 30–33°C in Qingdao on July 30, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity limit extreme surface heating compared with inland Shandong sites, keeping most deterministic runs below 34°C while ensemble spread still admits a modest chance of 35°C or higher if afternoon insolation increases or onshore winds weaken. With the market’s leading probabilities clustered tightly between 33°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute adjustments to the subtropical ridge position ahead of the July 30 observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Qingdao on July 30?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 30?
34°C 63%
35°C 32%
36°C 8%
37°C or higher <1%
$22,012 Vol.
$22,012 Vol.
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
63%
35°C
32%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 63%
35°C 32%
36°C 8%
37°C or higher <1%
$22,012 Vol.
$22,012 Vol.
Jul 30, 2026
27°C or below
$610 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$504 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$854 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$496 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,588 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5,308 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,396 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$2,991 Vol.
63%
35°C
$2,885 Vol.
32%
36°C
$1,879 Vol.
8%
37°C or higher
$2,500 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a peak temperature near 30–33°C in Qingdao on July 30, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity limit extreme surface heating compared with inland Shandong sites, keeping most deterministic runs below 34°C while ensemble spread still admits a modest chance of 35°C or higher if afternoon insolation increases or onshore winds weaken. With the market’s leading probabilities clustered tightly between 33°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute adjustments to the subtropical ridge position ahead of the July 30 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$22,012Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a peak temperature near 30–33°C in Qingdao on July 30, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity limit extreme surface heating compared with inland Shandong sites, keeping most deterministic runs below 34°C while ensemble spread still admits a modest chance of 35°C or higher if afternoon insolation increases or onshore winds weaken. With the market’s leading probabilities clustered tightly between 33°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute adjustments to the subtropical ridge position ahead of the July 30 observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$22,012Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 28, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model guidance from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles points to a peak temperature near 30–33°C in Qingdao on July 30, driven by moderate southerly flow, partial cloud cover, and the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. Coastal sea breezes and higher humidity limit extreme surface heating compared with inland Shandong sites, keeping most deterministic runs below 34°C while ensemble spread still admits a modest chance of 35°C or higher if afternoon insolation increases or onshore winds weaken. With the market’s leading probabilities clustered tightly between 33°C and 35°C, traders are pricing the residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any last-minute adjustments to the subtropical ridge position ahead of the July 30 observation window.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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