Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 28 point to highs near 32–34 °C amid partly cloudy skies and a 65–80 % chance of thunderstorms, which explains the tightly bunched market probabilities around those outcomes. High atmospheric moisture and weak steering winds typical of the East Asian monsoon allow afternoon convection to develop quickly, limiting peak solar insolation and thereby capping maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced shortwave radiation. Subtle differences among ensemble members hinge on the precise timing and coverage of cloud build-up versus any brief clearing that could permit brief warming toward 34 °C or slight suppression to 31–32 °C. Updated regional model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine boundary-layer moisture and instability profiles ahead of the close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 28?
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 23%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
8%
31°C
14%
32°C
29%
33°C
25%
34°C
23%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 29%
33°C 25%
34°C 23%
31°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$180 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$208 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$115 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C
$17 Vol.
14%
32°C
$5 Vol.
29%
33°C
$0 Vol.
25%
34°C
$0 Vol.
23%
35°C
$125 Vol.
5%
36°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 28 point to highs near 32–34 °C amid partly cloudy skies and a 65–80 % chance of thunderstorms, which explains the tightly bunched market probabilities around those outcomes. High atmospheric moisture and weak steering winds typical of the East Asian monsoon allow afternoon convection to develop quickly, limiting peak solar insolation and thereby capping maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced shortwave radiation. Subtle differences among ensemble members hinge on the precise timing and coverage of cloud build-up versus any brief clearing that could permit brief warming toward 34 °C or slight suppression to 31–32 °C. Updated regional model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine boundary-layer moisture and instability profiles ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$678Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 28 point to highs near 32–34 °C amid partly cloudy skies and a 65–80 % chance of thunderstorms, which explains the tightly bunched market probabilities around those outcomes. High atmospheric moisture and weak steering winds typical of the East Asian monsoon allow afternoon convection to develop quickly, limiting peak solar insolation and thereby capping maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced shortwave radiation. Subtle differences among ensemble members hinge on the precise timing and coverage of cloud build-up versus any brief clearing that could permit brief warming toward 34 °C or slight suppression to 31–32 °C. Updated regional model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine boundary-layer moisture and instability profiles ahead of the close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$678Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 28, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 26, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen on August 28 point to highs near 32–34 °C amid partly cloudy skies and a 65–80 % chance of thunderstorms, which explains the tightly bunched market probabilities around those outcomes. High atmospheric moisture and weak steering winds typical of the East Asian monsoon allow afternoon convection to develop quickly, limiting peak solar insolation and thereby capping maximum temperatures through evaporative cooling and reduced shortwave radiation. Subtle differences among ensemble members hinge on the precise timing and coverage of cloud build-up versus any brief clearing that could permit brief warming toward 34 °C or slight suppression to 31–32 °C. Updated regional model runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will refine boundary-layer moisture and instability profiles ahead of the close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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