Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shenzhen on July 7?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 7?
31°C 27%
30°C 25%
29°C 24%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
24%
30°C
25%
31°C
27%
32°C
5%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 27%
30°C 25%
29°C 24%
28°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Jul 7, 2026
24°C or below
$243 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$593 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$194 Vol.
1%
27°C
$202 Vol.
4%
28°C
$434 Vol.
14%
29°C
$197 Vol.
24%
30°C
$715 Vol.
25%
31°C
$445 Vol.
27%
32°C
$752 Vol.
5%
33°C
$409 Vol.
4%
34°C or higher
$368 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,552Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,552Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 7, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 29–32°C for Shenzhen’s July 7 maximum, driven by ensemble forecasts showing a monsoon-influenced subtropical environment with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity from the South China Sea. Persistent cloud cover and daytime convection limit surface heating and solar insolation, capping peaks near or slightly below the July climatological average of 32°C. Differentiation among tightly bunched outcomes hinges on the exact timing and intensity of showers—earlier or heavier rain favors 29–30°C, while brief or lighter activity could allow brief clearing and a 31–32°C spike. Urban heat-island effects and variable wind patterns add minor upward bias, yet model spread on boundary-layer moisture keeps probabilities evenly distributed. Updated regional guidance and radar trends over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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