Official meteorological observations for Tel Aviv on September 30, 2026, confirmed a daily maximum of 29°C under variable cloudiness with periods of light rain and moderate westerly winds, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This reading matches the seasonal transition into early autumn, when average highs typically range from 26–29°C amid declining solar insolation and increasing Atlantic moisture influence. Israel Meteorological Service data and station records show no exceedance of this threshold, reflecting stable steering patterns that prevented stronger heating. While post-event quality-control revisions or alternative station measurements could theoretically alter the final figure, the consistency across multiple sources makes such adjustments improbable at this stage.