Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a high of approximately 32°C for Warsaw on July 1 under a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 30–32°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation expected to suppress daytime maxima, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust results by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while official monitoring from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will provide final verification against resolution thresholds. Traders are incorporating the proximity to the event and typical short-range forecast skill, leaving room for late adjustments from updated runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 1?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 1?
30°C or below 38%
32°C 13%
33°C 12%
31°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Jul 1, 2026
30°C or below
38%
31°C
10%
32°C
13%
33°C
12%
34°C
7%
35°C
4%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
30°C or below 38%
32°C 13%
33°C 12%
31°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Jul 1, 2026
30°C or below
$13 Vol.
38%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C
$10 Vol.
13%
33°C
$434 Vol.
12%
34°C
$207 Vol.
7%
35°C
$52 Vol.
4%
36°C
$0 Vol.
3%
37°C
$0 Vol.
2%
38°C
$1,049 Vol.
1%
39°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$120 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a high of approximately 32°C for Warsaw on July 1 under a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 30–32°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation expected to suppress daytime maxima, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust results by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while official monitoring from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will provide final verification against resolution thresholds. Traders are incorporating the proximity to the event and typical short-range forecast skill, leaving room for late adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$1,844Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a high of approximately 32°C for Warsaw on July 1 under a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 30–32°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation expected to suppress daytime maxima, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust results by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while official monitoring from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will provide final verification against resolution thresholds. Traders are incorporating the proximity to the event and typical short-range forecast skill, leaving room for late adjustments from updated runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,844Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 29, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, indicate a high of approximately 32°C for Warsaw on July 1 under a ridge of high pressure promoting warm advection and clear skies, consistent with the market's heaviest weighting on 30–32°C outcomes. Recent model runs show limited spread around this value, with minimal precipitation expected to suppress daytime maxima, though minor shifts in timing or cloud cover could adjust results by 1–2°C. Historical July averages near 24–25°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while official monitoring from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management will provide final verification against resolution thresholds. Traders are incorporating the proximity to the event and typical short-range forecast skill, leaving room for late adjustments from updated runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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